Thursday, November 8, 2007

Pakistan capitulates

Pervez Musharraf has finally succumbed to world pressure and called for Pakistani elections in February. It is hoped that this has come in time and it probably has, because as a South African I have learnt that there is a lot of residual goodwill in people. So I feel that Pakistanis will bounce back, go to the polls, elect a new president and move on. I also feel that moderate Pakistanis will steer clear of radical elements and vote conservatively.

However, a tiger has now been stirred. Pro-Taliban factions in Pakistan and Afghanistan, whilst still a moderate threat in the overall context, are gaining ground. The arrogance of Ahmadinejad has emboldened extremists and brought them out of the woodwork. If the US successfully attacks Iran or the world persuades Ahmadinejad to back down from his nuclear ambitions, that would probably stifle extremists, at least for a while. But I doubt that Iran will ever back down and a US war, if it comes, might make things worse, as happened in Iraq.

From a biblical perspective, war across the middle east is inevitable and it will involve the major world powers, who will be drawn like vultures to the great feast of Megiddo. It is also quite obvious to most observers, that alignment of the Islamic world has been fermented by US activities and joining the dots between Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, Turkey, Georgia and Pakistan, makes for a gloomy picture. These nations all have significant political headaches that could seriously shift the balance of power and stability of the Middle-East. Compounding the situation, various world powers have entered the game, which is frustrating US intervention and inciting radicalism.

(c) Peter Eleazar at www.bethelstone.com

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